Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1.985621 2.265994 2.573944 2.937629 3.355864 3.822313 4.382747
2025-09-28 1.531529 1.886178 2.307833 2.847445 3.521649 4.338779 5.408168
2025-10-05 1.323795 1.738999 2.267034 2.990933 3.962512 5.228381 7.014119
2025-10-12 1.174165 1.630969 2.246863 3.143565 4.425299 6.205722 8.891289
2025-10-19 1.034044 1.507949 2.180387 3.212634 4.772670 7.066786 10.741282
2025-10-26 0.920548 1.401880 2.116727 3.267486 5.096319 7.928425 12.720145
2025-11-02 0.796615 1.260373 1.977438 3.181526 5.182898 8.429183 14.199787
2025-11-09 0.679906 1.112972 1.807125 3.017725 5.112902 8.656841 15.246041
2025-11-16 0.609485 1.030476 1.728785 2.991500 5.263224 9.264054 17.033206
2025-11-23 0.544461 0.948333 1.639737 2.932539 5.343639 9.752755 18.670528
2025-11-30 0.520372 0.933765 1.664228 3.076876 5.809013 10.999410 21.941647
2025-12-07 0.488896 0.901795 1.653119 3.152400 6.152196 12.058402 25.005032
2025-12-14 0.447281 0.847506 1.596958 3.139197 6.329685 12.836792 27.662888
2025-12-21 0.397732 0.772479 1.493006 3.018457 6.273388 13.133245 29.337672
2025-12-28 0.382681 0.763134 1.515610 3.158051 6.781366 14.693031 34.128660
2026-01-04 0.370042 0.757041 1.543743 3.312634 7.343939 16.457318 39.724497
2026-01-11 0.350219 0.733694 1.533364 3.381897 7.724887 17.867917 44.721415
2026-01-18 0.331041 0.709455 1.518102 3.437840 8.082474 19.277247 49.979062
2026-01-25 0.301908 0.660279 1.443022 3.346172 8.073793 19.796936 52.990323
2026-02-01 0.269823 0.601073 1.339092 3.172959 7.839574 19.716331 54.344918
2026-02-08 0.251251 0.570656 1.297347 3.145065 7.968503 20.588225 58.550551
2026-02-15 0.232138 0.536984 1.244417 3.082788 7.999618 21.206581 62.139024
2026-02-22 0.227963 0.538235 1.274410 3.234869 8.623370 23.533610 71.334320